**Farage's resignation in early July 2026 triggered the Clacton by-election held on 13 August, which he won decisively with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, primarily novelty entrants after major parties boycotted the contest.** He returned to the Commons as Reform UK MP for the seat he has held since the 2024 general election. A parliamentary standards investigation into his financial affairs, suspended during the campaign, has since resumed. With Farage freshly re-elected and no reported plans or procedural triggers for a further vacancy this year, traders assign 71% probability to no additional by-election occurring before the end of 2026. The next scheduled general election remains years away, and the recent contest resolved the immediate seat question without creating new structural pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
29% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
29% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Farage's resignation in early July 2026 triggered the Clacton by-election held on 13 August, which he won decisively with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, primarily novelty entrants after major parties boycotted the contest.**
He returned to the Commons as Reform UK MP for the seat he has held since the 2024 general election. A parliamentary standards investigation into his financial affairs, suspended during the campaign, has since resumed. With Farage freshly re-elected and no reported plans or procedural triggers for a further vacancy this year, traders assign 71% probability to no additional by-election occurring before the end of 2026. The next scheduled general election remains years away, and the recent contest resolved the immediate seat question without creating new structural pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Farage's resignation in early July 2026 triggered the Clacton by-election held on 13 August, which he won decisively with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, primarily novelty entrants after major parties boycotted the contest.**
He returned to the Commons as Reform UK MP for the seat he has held since the 2024 general election. A parliamentary standards investigation into his financial affairs, suspended during the campaign, has since resumed. With Farage freshly re-elected and no reported plans or procedural triggers for a further vacancy this year, traders assign 71% probability to no additional by-election occurring before the end of 2026. The next scheduled general election remains years away, and the recent contest resolved the immediate seat question without creating new structural pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Farage's resignation in early July 2026 triggered the Clacton by-election held on 13 August, which he won decisively with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, primarily novelty entrants after major parties boycotted the contest.** He returned to the Commons as Reform UK MP for the seat he has held since the 2024 general election. A parliamentary standards investigation into his financial affairs, suspended during the campaign, has since resumed. With Farage freshly re-elected and no reported plans or procedural triggers for a further vacancy this year, traders assign 71% probability to no additional by-election occurring before the end of 2026. The next scheduled general election remains years away, and the recent contest resolved the immediate seat question without creating new structural pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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