President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections has anchored trader expectations for a snap vote before the statutory December 2027 deadline. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2025, combined with a failed no-confidence motion in August 2026 that removed a procedural hurdle, have intensified pressure on the ruling coalition to dissolve the National Assembly. Serbia’s constitution permits dissolution followed by polls within 45–60 days, a mechanism used repeatedly in prior cycles. While some forecasts still point to late 2027, Vučić’s repeated signals of an autumn 2026 timeline and the pattern of pre-term elections sustain the 78.5% implied probability for a call before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
74% โอกาส
$41,595 ปริมาณ
$41,595 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
74% โอกาส
$41,595 ปริมาณ
$41,595 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections has anchored trader expectations for a snap vote before the statutory December 2027 deadline. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2025, combined with a failed no-confidence motion in August 2026 that removed a procedural hurdle, have intensified pressure on the ruling coalition to dissolve the National Assembly. Serbia’s constitution permits dissolution followed by polls within 45–60 days, a mechanism used repeatedly in prior cycles. While some forecasts still point to late 2027, Vučić’s repeated signals of an autumn 2026 timeline and the pattern of pre-term elections sustain the 78.5% implied probability for a call before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,595วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections has anchored trader expectations for a snap vote before the statutory December 2027 deadline. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2025, combined with a failed no-confidence motion in August 2026 that removed a procedural hurdle, have intensified pressure on the ruling coalition to dissolve the National Assembly. Serbia’s constitution permits dissolution followed by polls within 45–60 days, a mechanism used repeatedly in prior cycles. While some forecasts still point to late 2027, Vučić’s repeated signals of an autumn 2026 timeline and the pattern of pre-term elections sustain the 78.5% implied probability for a call before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,595วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections has anchored trader expectations for a snap vote before the statutory December 2027 deadline. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2025, combined with a failed no-confidence motion in August 2026 that removed a procedural hurdle, have intensified pressure on the ruling coalition to dissolve the National Assembly. Serbia’s constitution permits dissolution followed by polls within 45–60 days, a mechanism used repeatedly in prior cycles. While some forecasts still point to late 2027, Vučić’s repeated signals of an autumn 2026 timeline and the pattern of pre-term elections sustain the 78.5% implied probability for a call before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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