United Russia is expected to secure first place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leaving the contest for second among the systemic opposition parties. Recent state-affiliated polling shows fluctuating support for New People, KPRF, and LDPR in the 10-14% range, yet traders assign KPRF an overwhelming probability for runner-up status due to its established regional organizations, historical second-place finishes, and experienced candidate infrastructure ahead of the three-day vote. LDPR and New People trail in market pricing, reflecting their more variable polling trends and comparatively weaker structural advantages in a managed electoral environment. Yabloko’s recent disqualification and limited prospects for other minor parties further concentrate the implied probabilities on the three leading challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 82%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 9.5%
New People (NL) 7.2%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$318,954 ปริมาณ
$318,954 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
82%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
10%
New People (NL)
7%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 82%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 9.5%
New People (NL) 7.2%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$318,954 ปริมาณ
$318,954 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$37,445 ปริมาณ
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$82,019 ปริมาณ
82%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$12,687 ปริมาณ
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$70,214 ปริมาณ
10%
New People (NL)
$42,347 ปริมาณ
7%
Rodina
$19,680 ปริมาณ
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 ปริมาณ
<1%
Yabloko
$42,988 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia is expected to secure first place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leaving the contest for second among the systemic opposition parties. Recent state-affiliated polling shows fluctuating support for New People, KPRF, and LDPR in the 10-14% range, yet traders assign KPRF an overwhelming probability for runner-up status due to its established regional organizations, historical second-place finishes, and experienced candidate infrastructure ahead of the three-day vote. LDPR and New People trail in market pricing, reflecting their more variable polling trends and comparatively weaker structural advantages in a managed electoral environment. Yabloko’s recent disqualification and limited prospects for other minor parties further concentrate the implied probabilities on the three leading challengers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318,954วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia is expected to secure first place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leaving the contest for second among the systemic opposition parties. Recent state-affiliated polling shows fluctuating support for New People, KPRF, and LDPR in the 10-14% range, yet traders assign KPRF an overwhelming probability for runner-up status due to its established regional organizations, historical second-place finishes, and experienced candidate infrastructure ahead of the three-day vote. LDPR and New People trail in market pricing, reflecting their more variable polling trends and comparatively weaker structural advantages in a managed electoral environment. Yabloko’s recent disqualification and limited prospects for other minor parties further concentrate the implied probabilities on the three leading challengers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318,954วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia is expected to secure first place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leaving the contest for second among the systemic opposition parties. Recent state-affiliated polling shows fluctuating support for New People, KPRF, and LDPR in the 10-14% range, yet traders assign KPRF an overwhelming probability for runner-up status due to its established regional organizations, historical second-place finishes, and experienced candidate infrastructure ahead of the three-day vote. LDPR and New People trail in market pricing, reflecting their more variable polling trends and comparatively weaker structural advantages in a managed electoral environment. Yabloko’s recent disqualification and limited prospects for other minor parties further concentrate the implied probabilities on the three leading challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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