Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats, and recent polling consistently places Yabloko at 2–3% support. The liberal opposition party, the only registered group openly advocating a ceasefire in Ukraine, received roughly 1.2% in the 2021 vote and has faced intensified administrative pressure, including candidate disqualifications, foreign-agent designations, and criminal proceedings targeting its anti-war platform. Although the Central Election Commission certified Yabloko's federal and single-mandate lists in July 2026, these structural constraints and low voter ratings among broader electorates limit its prospects for clearing the barrier. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects this sustained polling gap and the limited scope for late shifts in a tightly managed electoral environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
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Sep 20, 2026
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Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats, and recent polling consistently places Yabloko at 2–3% support. The liberal opposition party, the only registered group openly advocating a ceasefire in Ukraine, received roughly 1.2% in the 2021 vote and has faced intensified administrative pressure, including candidate disqualifications, foreign-agent designations, and criminal proceedings targeting its anti-war platform. Although the Central Election Commission certified Yabloko's federal and single-mandate lists in July 2026, these structural constraints and low voter ratings among broader electorates limit its prospects for clearing the barrier. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects this sustained polling gap and the limited scope for late shifts in a tightly managed electoral environment.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
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$4,255วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats, and recent polling consistently places Yabloko at 2–3% support. The liberal opposition party, the only registered group openly advocating a ceasefire in Ukraine, received roughly 1.2% in the 2021 vote and has faced intensified administrative pressure, including candidate disqualifications, foreign-agent designations, and criminal proceedings targeting its anti-war platform. Although the Central Election Commission certified Yabloko's federal and single-mandate lists in July 2026, these structural constraints and low voter ratings among broader electorates limit its prospects for clearing the barrier. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects this sustained polling gap and the limited scope for late shifts in a tightly managed electoral environment.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,888วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% national threshold for proportional representation seats, and recent polling consistently places Yabloko at 2–3% support. The liberal opposition party, the only registered group openly advocating a ceasefire in Ukraine, received roughly 1.2% in the 2021 vote and has faced intensified administrative pressure, including candidate disqualifications, foreign-agent designations, and criminal proceedings targeting its anti-war platform. Although the Central Election Commission certified Yabloko's federal and single-mandate lists in July 2026, these structural constraints and low voter ratings among broader electorates limit its prospects for clearing the barrier. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects this sustained polling gap and the limited scope for late shifts in a tightly managed electoral environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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