The crowded field in South Carolina's August 11 Republican special Senate primary has produced closely matched polling among leading contenders Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, and Russell Fry, with Mark Sanford also in the mix. Recent Emerson College and other surveys show Graham Nordone ahead but well short of a majority, Norman and Fry within striking distance on name recognition and endorsements, and a large undecided bloc. This fragmentation, combined with the tight timeline after Lindsey Graham's death, keeps projected victory margins narrow across multiple categories. A final debate and early voting patterns could still shift support among conservative voters or alter turnout dynamics in key congressional districts before primary day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGraham Nordone 20%+ 37%
Graham Nordone 10–15% 37%
Graham Nordone <5% 37%
Sanford wins 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
Graham Nordone 20%+
37%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
36%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
37%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
36%
Graham Nordone <5%
37%
Norman <5%
36%
Norman 5%+
41%
Fry <5%
41%
Fry 5%+
47%
Sanford wins
37%
Graham Nordone 20%+ 37%
Graham Nordone 10–15% 37%
Graham Nordone <5% 37%
Sanford wins 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
Graham Nordone 20%+
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
Graham Nordone <5%
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
Norman <5%
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
Norman 5%+
$121 ปริมาณ
41%
Fry <5%
$121 ปริมาณ
41%
Fry 5%+
$140 ปริมาณ
47%
Sanford wins
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The crowded field in South Carolina's August 11 Republican special Senate primary has produced closely matched polling among leading contenders Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, and Russell Fry, with Mark Sanford also in the mix. Recent Emerson College and other surveys show Graham Nordone ahead but well short of a majority, Norman and Fry within striking distance on name recognition and endorsements, and a large undecided bloc. This fragmentation, combined with the tight timeline after Lindsey Graham's death, keeps projected victory margins narrow across multiple categories. A final debate and early voting patterns could still shift support among conservative voters or alter turnout dynamics in key congressional districts before primary day.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$382วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The crowded field in South Carolina's August 11 Republican special Senate primary has produced closely matched polling among leading contenders Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, and Russell Fry, with Mark Sanford also in the mix. Recent Emerson College and other surveys show Graham Nordone ahead but well short of a majority, Norman and Fry within striking distance on name recognition and endorsements, and a large undecided bloc. This fragmentation, combined with the tight timeline after Lindsey Graham's death, keeps projected victory margins narrow across multiple categories. A final debate and early voting patterns could still shift support among conservative voters or alter turnout dynamics in key congressional districts before primary day.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$382วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field in South Carolina's August 11 Republican special Senate primary has produced closely matched polling among leading contenders Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, and Russell Fry, with Mark Sanford also in the mix. Recent Emerson College and other surveys show Graham Nordone ahead but well short of a majority, Norman and Fry within striking distance on name recognition and endorsements, and a large undecided bloc. This fragmentation, combined with the tight timeline after Lindsey Graham's death, keeps projected victory margins narrow across multiple categories. A final debate and early voting patterns could still shift support among conservative voters or alter turnout dynamics in key congressional districts before primary day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
62%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
48%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 20%-25%?
41%
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