High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว65–70% 25.9%
60–65% 24.7%
<45% 22.4%
70–75% 20%
$1,464 ปริมาณ
$1,464 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
22%
45–50%
15%
50–55%
12%
55–60%
7%
60–65%
25%
65–70%
26%
70–75%
20%
75–80%
36%
80–85%
55%
85%+
2%
65–70% 25.9%
60–65% 24.7%
<45% 22.4%
70–75% 20%
$1,464 ปริมาณ
$1,464 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
$99 ปริมาณ
22%
45–50%
$60 ปริมาณ
15%
50–55%
$78 ปริมาณ
12%
55–60%
$18 ปริมาณ
7%
60–65%
$18 ปริมาณ
25%
65–70%
$9 ปริมาณ
26%
70–75%
$15 ปริมาณ
20%
75–80%
$78 ปริมาณ
36%
80–85%
$255 ปริมาณ
55%
85%+
$836 ปริมาณ
2%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,464วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,464วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...High advance voting at record levels (around 23% of the electorate) and stronger-than-usual early turnout in Reykjavík and other districts signaled elevated engagement in the August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks. The close contest between “yes” and “no” camps, urban-rural divides, and focus on fisheries sovereignty and economic stability drew broad participation, pushing final turnout to 82.5% of eligible voters—the highest since 2009. Trader consensus centers on the 80–85% range as this outcome aligns with confirmed participation rates, while lower ranges reflect pre-vote polling uncertainty and expectations calibrated to prior parliamentary elections around 80%. No major last-minute events altered the trajectory once polls closed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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