Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, feature roughly 111 million registered voters and expanded remote electronic voting across dozens of regions. Regional authorities have received instructions to target turnout near 50 percent while ensuring a strong United Russia result, consistent with past administrative mobilization of public-sector employees, students, and other groups. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66 percent of respondents intending to vote, though a May survey found two-thirds unaware of the election date. Inclusion of occupied Ukrainian territories, three-day voting, and veteran-focused campaigning add further variables. These controlled dynamics and historical Duma patterns position the 50–56 percent ranges as the market’s leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessments of Kremlin-managed participation levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 39%
53-56% 22.9%
59-62% 10.8%
56-59% 10.4%
$45,316 ปริมาณ
$45,316 ปริมาณ
<47%
3%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
39%
53-56%
23%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 39%
53-56% 22.9%
59-62% 10.8%
56-59% 10.4%
$45,316 ปริมาณ
$45,316 ปริมาณ
<47%
3%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
39%
53-56%
23%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, feature roughly 111 million registered voters and expanded remote electronic voting across dozens of regions. Regional authorities have received instructions to target turnout near 50 percent while ensuring a strong United Russia result, consistent with past administrative mobilization of public-sector employees, students, and other groups. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66 percent of respondents intending to vote, though a May survey found two-thirds unaware of the election date. Inclusion of occupied Ukrainian territories, three-day voting, and veteran-focused campaigning add further variables. These controlled dynamics and historical Duma patterns position the 50–56 percent ranges as the market’s leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessments of Kremlin-managed participation levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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