The Quebec general election on October 5 features a closely contested race where PCQ support has held steady near 13-15% in recent polls, yet seat outcomes remain uncertain due to the first-past-the-post system and regional concentration, particularly around Quebec City. Latest surveys from Synopsis and Léger show PCQ trailing the tightening PQ-CAQ contest, with seat models from 338Canada projecting a median near 11 seats but wide ranges reflecting variable riding-level performance. Trader consensus clusters probabilities on 8-13 seats because modest shifts in francophone voter splits or campaign momentum for leader Éric Duhaime could expand or limit PCQ gains, while broader volatility between the leading parties continues to influence third-party results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว11-13 24%
8-10 22%
<5 13%
5-7 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<5
13%
5-7
11%
8-10
22%
11-13
24%
14-16
11%
17+
6%
11-13 24%
8-10 22%
<5 13%
5-7 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,190 ปริมาณ
13%
5-7
$321 ปริมาณ
11%
8-10
$789 ปริมาณ
22%
11-13
$907 ปริมาณ
24%
14-16
$704 ปริมาณ
11%
17+
$676 ปริมาณ
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a closely contested race where PCQ support has held steady near 13-15% in recent polls, yet seat outcomes remain uncertain due to the first-past-the-post system and regional concentration, particularly around Quebec City. Latest surveys from Synopsis and Léger show PCQ trailing the tightening PQ-CAQ contest, with seat models from 338Canada projecting a median near 11 seats but wide ranges reflecting variable riding-level performance. Trader consensus clusters probabilities on 8-13 seats because modest shifts in francophone voter splits or campaign momentum for leader Éric Duhaime could expand or limit PCQ gains, while broader volatility between the leading parties continues to influence third-party results.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,586วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a closely contested race where PCQ support has held steady near 13-15% in recent polls, yet seat outcomes remain uncertain due to the first-past-the-post system and regional concentration, particularly around Quebec City. Latest surveys from Synopsis and Léger show PCQ trailing the tightening PQ-CAQ contest, with seat models from 338Canada projecting a median near 11 seats but wide ranges reflecting variable riding-level performance. Trader consensus clusters probabilities on 8-13 seats because modest shifts in francophone voter splits or campaign momentum for leader Éric Duhaime could expand or limit PCQ gains, while broader volatility between the leading parties continues to influence third-party results.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,586วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Quebec general election on October 5 features a closely contested race where PCQ support has held steady near 13-15% in recent polls, yet seat outcomes remain uncertain due to the first-past-the-post system and regional concentration, particularly around Quebec City. Latest surveys from Synopsis and Léger show PCQ trailing the tightening PQ-CAQ contest, with seat models from 338Canada projecting a median near 11 seats but wide ranges reflecting variable riding-level performance. Trader consensus clusters probabilities on 8-13 seats because modest shifts in francophone voter splits or campaign momentum for leader Éric Duhaime could expand or limit PCQ gains, while broader volatility between the leading parties continues to influence third-party results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย