Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 49%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
27°C <1%
$26,817 ปริมาณ
$26,817 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
49%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
27°C <1%
$26,817 ปริมาณ
$26,817 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$1,751 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,509 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,223 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,248 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$6,003 ปริมาณ
49%
26°C
$3,433 ปริมาณ
34%
27°C
$2,052 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$679 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$480 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$225 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,817วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,817วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย