**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the market's heavy weighting toward a 15°C minimum overnight low in Ankara on August 30.** Clear to mostly clear skies after daytime cloud cover, combined with light northerly winds and typical late-summer radiative cooling at the city's elevation near 900 m, are expected to drive temperatures down from afternoon highs around 25°C (77°F) to the 15°C threshold. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of a 15°C nighttime minimum, aligns closely with ensemble outputs showing limited variability. Traders appear to view deviations below 14°C or above 16°C as low-probability outcomes given current atmospheric conditions and the absence of significant moisture or wind shifts that could alter cooling rates. New observational data or rapid model adjustments before midnight could still introduce modest uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
15°C 96%
14°C 16%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
$1,006 ปริมาณ
$1,006 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
16%
15°C
96%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 96%
14°C 16%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
$1,006 ปริมาณ
$1,006 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$82 ปริมาณ
4%
13°C
$96 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
15°C
$205 ปริมาณ
96%
16°C
$79 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$46 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the market's heavy weighting toward a 15°C minimum overnight low in Ankara on August 30.** Clear to mostly clear skies after daytime cloud cover, combined with light northerly winds and typical late-summer radiative cooling at the city's elevation near 900 m, are expected to drive temperatures down from afternoon highs around 25°C (77°F) to the 15°C threshold. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of a 15°C nighttime minimum, aligns closely with ensemble outputs showing limited variability. Traders appear to view deviations below 14°C or above 16°C as low-probability outcomes given current atmospheric conditions and the absence of significant moisture or wind shifts that could alter cooling rates. New observational data or rapid model adjustments before midnight could still introduce modest uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,006วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the market's heavy weighting toward a 15°C minimum overnight low in Ankara on August 30.** Clear to mostly clear skies after daytime cloud cover, combined with light northerly winds and typical late-summer radiative cooling at the city's elevation near 900 m, are expected to drive temperatures down from afternoon highs around 25°C (77°F) to the 15°C threshold. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of a 15°C nighttime minimum, aligns closely with ensemble outputs showing limited variability. Traders appear to view deviations below 14°C or above 16°C as low-probability outcomes given current atmospheric conditions and the absence of significant moisture or wind shifts that could alter cooling rates. New observational data or rapid model adjustments before midnight could still introduce modest uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,006วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the market's heavy weighting toward a 15°C minimum overnight low in Ankara on August 30.** Clear to mostly clear skies after daytime cloud cover, combined with light northerly winds and typical late-summer radiative cooling at the city's elevation near 900 m, are expected to drive temperatures down from afternoon highs around 25°C (77°F) to the 15°C threshold. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of a 15°C nighttime minimum, aligns closely with ensemble outputs showing limited variability. Traders appear to view deviations below 14°C or above 16°C as low-probability outcomes given current atmospheric conditions and the absence of significant moisture or wind shifts that could alter cooling rates. New observational data or rapid model adjustments before midnight could still introduce modest uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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