Strong northwesterly winds and clear conditions have supported a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wellington on August 30, aligning with MetService and multiple forecast models showing highs near 16–17°C that traders interpret as resolving at the 18°C threshold. Official observations from Wellington stations, including airport data reaching approximately 16–17°C (61–63°F) under partly cloudy skies with gusts to 30+ knots, underpin the market-implied near-certainty. This reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing real-time model runs and surface observations against typical August baselines of 12–13°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision, station-specific anomaly, or model error exceeding 1–2°C, though current consensus across agencies leaves little room for deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$75,366 ปริมาณ
$75,366 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$75,366 ปริมาณ
$75,366 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$687 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$687 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$548 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$3,593 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$4,119 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$15,218 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$15,356 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$13,115 ปริมาณ
100%
19°C
$9,307 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,826 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C or higher
$8,910 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and clear conditions have supported a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wellington on August 30, aligning with MetService and multiple forecast models showing highs near 16–17°C that traders interpret as resolving at the 18°C threshold. Official observations from Wellington stations, including airport data reaching approximately 16–17°C (61–63°F) under partly cloudy skies with gusts to 30+ knots, underpin the market-implied near-certainty. This reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing real-time model runs and surface observations against typical August baselines of 12–13°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision, station-specific anomaly, or model error exceeding 1–2°C, though current consensus across agencies leaves little room for deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,366วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and clear conditions have supported a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wellington on August 30, aligning with MetService and multiple forecast models showing highs near 16–17°C that traders interpret as resolving at the 18°C threshold. Official observations from Wellington stations, including airport data reaching approximately 16–17°C (61–63°F) under partly cloudy skies with gusts to 30+ knots, underpin the market-implied near-certainty. This reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing real-time model runs and surface observations against typical August baselines of 12–13°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision, station-specific anomaly, or model error exceeding 1–2°C, though current consensus across agencies leaves little room for deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,366วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly winds and clear conditions have supported a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wellington on August 30, aligning with MetService and multiple forecast models showing highs near 16–17°C that traders interpret as resolving at the 18°C threshold. Official observations from Wellington stations, including airport data reaching approximately 16–17°C (61–63°F) under partly cloudy skies with gusts to 30+ knots, underpin the market-implied near-certainty. This reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing real-time model runs and surface observations against typical August baselines of 12–13°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day measurement revision, station-specific anomaly, or model error exceeding 1–2°C, though current consensus across agencies leaves little room for deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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