Official NOAA observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a daily maximum temperature of 70°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 70-71°F outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow suppressed daytime heating, producing highs well below the late-August climatological average near 75°F. Model consensus and real-time surface data had already pointed to this range in the final 48 hours before the date, leaving little room for deviation once the official reading was confirmed. Only an unusually large post-publication revision to the Sea-Tac station data could alter the resolution, an event that remains highly improbable given standard quality-control procedures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
70-71°F 100.0%
$38,202 ปริมาณ
$38,202 ปริมาณ
70-71°F
100%
70-71°F 100.0%
$38,202 ปริมาณ
$38,202 ปริมาณ
70-71°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official NOAA observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a daily maximum temperature of 70°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 70-71°F outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow suppressed daytime heating, producing highs well below the late-August climatological average near 75°F. Model consensus and real-time surface data had already pointed to this range in the final 48 hours before the date, leaving little room for deviation once the official reading was confirmed. Only an unusually large post-publication revision to the Sea-Tac station data could alter the resolution, an event that remains highly improbable given standard quality-control procedures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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