**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes.** Partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, combined with light northeast winds and moderate humidity around 50%, are supporting gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 23°C. Recent scattered showers and higher cloud cover earlier in the week moderated extremes, preventing stronger warming seen in prior late-August analogs. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with the highest readings expected in the early afternoon before any evening stabilization; small revisions in observed maxima could still shift the final recorded value between the two leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
34°C 45%
33°C 44%
35°C 7%
36°C 1.0%
$41,661 ปริมาณ
$41,661 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
44%
34°C
47%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 44%
35°C 7%
36°C 1.0%
$41,661 ปริมาณ
$41,661 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$2,501 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,079 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,231 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,214 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$6,255 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$3,684 ปริมาณ
44%
34°C
$2,810 ปริมาณ
47%
35°C
$5,551 ปริมาณ
7%
36°C
$6,289 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$4,817 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,230 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes.** Partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, combined with light northeast winds and moderate humidity around 50%, are supporting gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 23°C. Recent scattered showers and higher cloud cover earlier in the week moderated extremes, preventing stronger warming seen in prior late-August analogs. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with the highest readings expected in the early afternoon before any evening stabilization; small revisions in observed maxima could still shift the final recorded value between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,661วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes.** Partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, combined with light northeast winds and moderate humidity around 50%, are supporting gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 23°C. Recent scattered showers and higher cloud cover earlier in the week moderated extremes, preventing stronger warming seen in prior late-August analogs. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with the highest readings expected in the early afternoon before any evening stabilization; small revisions in observed maxima could still shift the final recorded value between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,661วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes.** Partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, combined with light northeast winds and moderate humidity around 50%, are supporting gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 23°C. Recent scattered showers and higher cloud cover earlier in the week moderated extremes, preventing stronger warming seen in prior late-August analogs. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with the highest readings expected in the early afternoon before any evening stabilization; small revisions in observed maxima could still shift the final recorded value between the two leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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