Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the daily maximum temperature. Official forecasts indicate highs near 27–29°C amid high humidity and reduced solar insolation, well below the historical average high of 33°C for the date. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustered around 28°C or lower as traders weigh model consensus on precipitation timing and intensity. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on the precise peak reached before or between rain bands, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief rises toward 29°C while sustained overcast and convective activity keeps readings at or below 28°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
28°C 47.4%
27°C or below 41.8%
29°C 16.4%
30°C 3%
$40,865 ปริมาณ
$40,865 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
42%
28°C
42%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47.4%
27°C or below 41.8%
29°C 16.4%
30°C 3%
$40,865 ปริมาณ
$40,865 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$7,980 ปริมาณ
42%
28°C
$4,420 ปริมาณ
42%
29°C
$1,461 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$4,904 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$3,827 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$4,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$5,537 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$4,514 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$3,138 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$579 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$321 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the daily maximum temperature. Official forecasts indicate highs near 27–29°C amid high humidity and reduced solar insolation, well below the historical average high of 33°C for the date. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustered around 28°C or lower as traders weigh model consensus on precipitation timing and intensity. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on the precise peak reached before or between rain bands, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief rises toward 29°C while sustained overcast and convective activity keeps readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,865วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the daily maximum temperature. Official forecasts indicate highs near 27–29°C amid high humidity and reduced solar insolation, well below the historical average high of 33°C for the date. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustered around 28°C or lower as traders weigh model consensus on precipitation timing and intensity. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on the precise peak reached before or between rain bands, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief rises toward 29°C while sustained overcast and convective activity keeps readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,865วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the daily maximum temperature. Official forecasts indicate highs near 27–29°C amid high humidity and reduced solar insolation, well below the historical average high of 33°C for the date. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustered around 28°C or lower as traders weigh model consensus on precipitation timing and intensity. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on the precise peak reached before or between rain bands, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief rises toward 29°C while sustained overcast and convective activity keeps readings at or below 28°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย