Official observations from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, anchoring the market-implied odds at 100% for that bin. Surface analysis showed typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal readings near sea level, with no heat advection or clear-sky radiative warming to push values higher. Historical August averages for the region fall in the mid-60s to low-70s, providing climatological context for the outcome. A data revision from primary sensors or inclusion of an unrepresentative microclimate station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are validated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$60,666 ปริมาณ
$60,666 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$60,666 ปริมาณ
$60,666 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
$188 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$129 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$6,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$9,921 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$7,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$23,890 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$5,664 ปริมาณ
100%
72-73°F
$2,624 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$2,933 ปริมาณ
<1%
76°F or higher
$1,532 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, anchoring the market-implied odds at 100% for that bin. Surface analysis showed typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal readings near sea level, with no heat advection or clear-sky radiative warming to push values higher. Historical August averages for the region fall in the mid-60s to low-70s, providing climatological context for the outcome. A data revision from primary sensors or inclusion of an unrepresentative microclimate station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,666วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, anchoring the market-implied odds at 100% for that bin. Surface analysis showed typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal readings near sea level, with no heat advection or clear-sky radiative warming to push values higher. Historical August averages for the region fall in the mid-60s to low-70s, providing climatological context for the outcome. A data revision from primary sensors or inclusion of an unrepresentative microclimate station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,666วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, anchoring the market-implied odds at 100% for that bin. Surface analysis showed typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal readings near sea level, with no heat advection or clear-sky radiative warming to push values higher. Historical August averages for the region fall in the mid-60s to low-70s, providing climatological context for the outcome. A data revision from primary sensors or inclusion of an unrepresentative microclimate station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are validated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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