Latest National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 1 high in the upper 80s to low 90s under southwest winds and partly cloudy, humid conditions, directly supporting the market’s leading 90–91 °F bin at 43 % implied probability. Recent runs show consensus around 89–92 °F, with heat-index values pushing higher amid dew points near 70 °F, while a slight shower chance and variable cloud cover introduce modest downside risk that keeps 88–89 °F at 26 % and 92–93 °F at 20 %. Above-normal warmth relative to the 80.6 °F climatological average for the date reinforces trader focus on these central bins ahead of final model updates on August 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on September 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 1?
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
81°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
88-89°F
$39 ปริมาณ
26%
90-91°F
$78 ปริมาณ
43%
92-93°F
$129 ปริมาณ
21%
94-95°F
$21 ปริมาณ
14%
96-97°F
$7 ปริมาณ
8%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
100°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 1 high in the upper 80s to low 90s under southwest winds and partly cloudy, humid conditions, directly supporting the market’s leading 90–91 °F bin at 43 % implied probability. Recent runs show consensus around 89–92 °F, with heat-index values pushing higher amid dew points near 70 °F, while a slight shower chance and variable cloud cover introduce modest downside risk that keeps 88–89 °F at 26 % and 92–93 °F at 20 %. Above-normal warmth relative to the 80.6 °F climatological average for the date reinforces trader focus on these central bins ahead of final model updates on August 31.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$287วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 1 high in the upper 80s to low 90s under southwest winds and partly cloudy, humid conditions, directly supporting the market’s leading 90–91 °F bin at 43 % implied probability. Recent runs show consensus around 89–92 °F, with heat-index values pushing higher amid dew points near 70 °F, while a slight shower chance and variable cloud cover introduce modest downside risk that keeps 88–89 °F at 26 % and 92–93 °F at 20 %. Above-normal warmth relative to the 80.6 °F climatological average for the date reinforces trader focus on these central bins ahead of final model updates on August 31.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$287วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 1 high in the upper 80s to low 90s under southwest winds and partly cloudy, humid conditions, directly supporting the market’s leading 90–91 °F bin at 43 % implied probability. Recent runs show consensus around 89–92 °F, with heat-index values pushing higher amid dew points near 70 °F, while a slight shower chance and variable cloud cover introduce modest downside risk that keeps 88–89 °F at 26 % and 92–93 °F at 20 %. Above-normal warmth relative to the 80.6 °F climatological average for the date reinforces trader focus on these central bins ahead of final model updates on August 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย