**Cloud cover and convective activity from morning showers and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Chicago's August 30 high near the mid-80s.** Official National Weather Service guidance places the maximum near 80–85°F under mostly cloudy skies, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and gusts to 25 mph enhancing mixing while limiting full insolation. Model consensus and recent updates emphasize precipitation chances (50–80% early) that reduce surface heating compared to the 81°F climatological average, creating tight probabilities between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on 86°F+ outcomes requiring clearer conditions or delayed convection that current observations do not support. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago-area stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 14%
86-87°F 9%
$21,761 ปริมาณ
$21,761 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 14%
86-87°F 9%
$21,761 ปริมาณ
$21,761 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
$1,486 ปริมาณ
2%
78-79°F
$1,044 ปริมาณ
5%
80-81°F
$2,105 ปริมาณ
14%
82-83°F
$3,587 ปริมาณ
37%
84-85°F
$3,362 ปริมาณ
39%
86-87°F
$4,708 ปริมาณ
9%
88-89°F
$2,996 ปริมาณ
2%
90-91°F
$1,662 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$132 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$328 ปริมาณ
<1%
96°F or higher
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and convective activity from morning showers and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Chicago's August 30 high near the mid-80s.** Official National Weather Service guidance places the maximum near 80–85°F under mostly cloudy skies, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and gusts to 25 mph enhancing mixing while limiting full insolation. Model consensus and recent updates emphasize precipitation chances (50–80% early) that reduce surface heating compared to the 81°F climatological average, creating tight probabilities between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on 86°F+ outcomes requiring clearer conditions or delayed convection that current observations do not support. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,761วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and convective activity from morning showers and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Chicago's August 30 high near the mid-80s.** Official National Weather Service guidance places the maximum near 80–85°F under mostly cloudy skies, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and gusts to 25 mph enhancing mixing while limiting full insolation. Model consensus and recent updates emphasize precipitation chances (50–80% early) that reduce surface heating compared to the 81°F climatological average, creating tight probabilities between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on 86°F+ outcomes requiring clearer conditions or delayed convection that current observations do not support. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,761วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and convective activity from morning showers and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Chicago's August 30 high near the mid-80s.** Official National Weather Service guidance places the maximum near 80–85°F under mostly cloudy skies, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and gusts to 25 mph enhancing mixing while limiting full insolation. Model consensus and recent updates emphasize precipitation chances (50–80% early) that reduce surface heating compared to the 81°F climatological average, creating tight probabilities between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on 86°F+ outcomes requiring clearer conditions or delayed convection that current observations do not support. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago-area stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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