Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling across the Chicago area, supporting minimum temperatures in the lower 70s according to National Weather Service guidance. This setup contrasts with the long-term August 30 average low near 64 °F and explains trader preference for the 68-69 °F bin at 78 % implied probability. Model consensus shows little additional cooling before dawn on the 31st, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief dips toward 66-67 °F. The market thus aggregates real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability rather than climatological norms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
68-69°F 89%
64-65°F 18%
66-67°F 12%
63°F or below 6%
$1,136 ปริมาณ
$1,136 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
86%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 89%
64-65°F 18%
66-67°F 12%
63°F or below 6%
$1,136 ปริมาณ
$1,136 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
63°F or below
$124 ปริมาณ
6%
64-65°F
$47 ปริมาณ
18%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
68-69°F
$55 ปริมาณ
86%
70-71°F
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$192 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$214 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$74 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling across the Chicago area, supporting minimum temperatures in the lower 70s according to National Weather Service guidance. This setup contrasts with the long-term August 30 average low near 64 °F and explains trader preference for the 68-69 °F bin at 78 % implied probability. Model consensus shows little additional cooling before dawn on the 31st, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief dips toward 66-67 °F. The market thus aggregates real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,136วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling across the Chicago area, supporting minimum temperatures in the lower 70s according to National Weather Service guidance. This setup contrasts with the long-term August 30 average low near 64 °F and explains trader preference for the 68-69 °F bin at 78 % implied probability. Model consensus shows little additional cooling before dawn on the 31st, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief dips toward 66-67 °F. The market thus aggregates real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,136วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling across the Chicago area, supporting minimum temperatures in the lower 70s according to National Weather Service guidance. This setup contrasts with the long-term August 30 average low near 64 °F and explains trader preference for the 68-69 °F bin at 78 % implied probability. Model consensus shows little additional cooling before dawn on the 31st, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief dips toward 66-67 °F. The market thus aggregates real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability rather than climatological norms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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