**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 23–24 °C in Paris on 30 August 2026, driving the heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent overcast skies and southwesterly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24–25 °C. Morning readings near 17–18 °C have risen only gradually under thick cloud cover, with official guidance from sources such as Météo-France-aligned forecasts and global models indicating a peak around 23–24 °C by mid-afternoon. Light drizzle risk and steady winds further suppress any brief warming spikes. The modest probability assigned to 25 °C reflects the narrow window for slight model divergence or localized clearing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given current thermal profiles. Updated model runs and official observations later today will determine the precise recorded maximum used for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 30?
24°C 60%
23°C 23%
25°C 16%
22°C 2%
$30,683 ปริมาณ
$30,683 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
23%
24°C
60%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 60%
23°C 23%
25°C 16%
22°C 2%
$30,683 ปริมาณ
$30,683 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
23%
24°C
60%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 23–24 °C in Paris on 30 August 2026, driving the heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent overcast skies and southwesterly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24–25 °C. Morning readings near 17–18 °C have risen only gradually under thick cloud cover, with official guidance from sources such as Météo-France-aligned forecasts and global models indicating a peak around 23–24 °C by mid-afternoon. Light drizzle risk and steady winds further suppress any brief warming spikes. The modest probability assigned to 25 °C reflects the narrow window for slight model divergence or localized clearing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given current thermal profiles. Updated model runs and official observations later today will determine the precise recorded maximum used for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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