Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a stationary front over the Korean Peninsula have capped daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 30, 2026. Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project a daily maximum of 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport, with afternoon temperatures hovering near 25–26°C under overcast skies and light northerly winds. Elevated humidity and scattered showers further limit surface warming by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. These conditions align closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C, while the low odds for 29°C or higher reflect the absence of clear-sky instability that would otherwise allow greater diurnal temperature rise. Resolution will hinge on the official highest recorded temperature at the Incheon station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
27°C 91%
28°C 9%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$75,214 ปริมาณ
$75,214 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
91%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 91%
28°C 9%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$75,214 ปริมาณ
$75,214 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
91%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a stationary front over the Korean Peninsula have capped daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 30, 2026. Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project a daily maximum of 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport, with afternoon temperatures hovering near 25–26°C under overcast skies and light northerly winds. Elevated humidity and scattered showers further limit surface warming by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. These conditions align closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C, while the low odds for 29°C or higher reflect the absence of clear-sky instability that would otherwise allow greater diurnal temperature rise. Resolution will hinge on the official highest recorded temperature at the Incheon station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย