**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance centers the highest temperature in Paris on August 31 around 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent Atlantic-driven cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds are limiting daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk, with only modest probabilities for 24°C (28.5%) if breaks in the overcast allow brief additional warming. Lower outcomes near 22°C (14%) remain possible under stronger cloud suppression, while probabilities for 25°C or higher stay minimal due to the stable synoptic pattern. Morning model runs on August 31 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 31?
23°C 55%
24°C 29%
22°C 14%
25°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
55%
24°C
29%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 55%
24°C 29%
22°C 14%
25°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$169 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$199 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$591 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$1,857 ปริมาณ
14%
23°C
$2,212 ปริมาณ
55%
24°C
$1,403 ปริมาณ
29%
25°C
$1,324 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$889 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$340 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$736 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance centers the highest temperature in Paris on August 31 around 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent Atlantic-driven cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds are limiting daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk, with only modest probabilities for 24°C (28.5%) if breaks in the overcast allow brief additional warming. Lower outcomes near 22°C (14%) remain possible under stronger cloud suppression, while probabilities for 25°C or higher stay minimal due to the stable synoptic pattern. Morning model runs on August 31 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,841วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance centers the highest temperature in Paris on August 31 around 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent Atlantic-driven cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds are limiting daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk, with only modest probabilities for 24°C (28.5%) if breaks in the overcast allow brief additional warming. Lower outcomes near 22°C (14%) remain possible under stronger cloud suppression, while probabilities for 25°C or higher stay minimal due to the stable synoptic pattern. Morning model runs on August 31 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,841วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance centers the highest temperature in Paris on August 31 around 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent Atlantic-driven cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds are limiting daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk, with only modest probabilities for 24°C (28.5%) if breaks in the overcast allow brief additional warming. Lower outcomes near 22°C (14%) remain possible under stronger cloud suppression, while probabilities for 25°C or higher stay minimal due to the stable synoptic pattern. Morning model runs on August 31 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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