Forecast models and observational data from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate Manila's daytime maximum on August 30 will reach approximately 30°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80-90%, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms that limit solar heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs hover near 30-31°C amid consistent moisture and convection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus across multiple runs, with minimal model spread. A sudden break in cloud cover or suppressed rainfall could push readings slightly higher, while intensified downpours might cap the peak below the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,981 ปริมาณ
$28,981 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,981 ปริมาณ
$28,981 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$161 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$339 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,410 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$6,205 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$6,593 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$6,357 ปริมาณ
100%
31°C
$4,101 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,228 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,027 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate Manila's daytime maximum on August 30 will reach approximately 30°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80-90%, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms that limit solar heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs hover near 30-31°C amid consistent moisture and convection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus across multiple runs, with minimal model spread. A sudden break in cloud cover or suppressed rainfall could push readings slightly higher, while intensified downpours might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,981วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate Manila's daytime maximum on August 30 will reach approximately 30°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80-90%, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms that limit solar heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs hover near 30-31°C amid consistent moisture and convection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus across multiple runs, with minimal model spread. A sudden break in cloud cover or suppressed rainfall could push readings slightly higher, while intensified downpours might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,981วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate Manila's daytime maximum on August 30 will reach approximately 30°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80-90%, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms that limit solar heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs hover near 30-31°C amid consistent moisture and convection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus across multiple runs, with minimal model spread. A sudden break in cloud cover or suppressed rainfall could push readings slightly higher, while intensified downpours might cap the peak below the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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