Persistent summer heat and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, with official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service pointing to mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 90s for September 1. Recent late-August observations show consistent readings near or above 98°F under high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface warming to continue. Forecast models align on limited moisture and no significant frontal passage before the date, supporting the market-implied concentration around 98–101°F while acknowledging typical model uncertainty and potential for slight revisions from afternoon convection or wind shifts. Historical September 1 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 1?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 1?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 13%
92-93°F 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
89°F or below
3%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 13%
92-93°F 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
89°F or below
$106 ปริมาณ
3%
90-91°F
$18 ปริมาณ
3%
92-93°F
$31 ปริมาณ
12%
94-95°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
96-97°F
$77 ปริมาณ
13%
98-99°F
$2 ปริมาณ
43%
100-101°F
$430 ปริมาณ
29%
102-103°F
$8 ปริมาณ
8%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
106-107°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
108°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, with official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service pointing to mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 90s for September 1. Recent late-August observations show consistent readings near or above 98°F under high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface warming to continue. Forecast models align on limited moisture and no significant frontal passage before the date, supporting the market-implied concentration around 98–101°F while acknowledging typical model uncertainty and potential for slight revisions from afternoon convection or wind shifts. Historical September 1 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$672วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, with official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service pointing to mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 90s for September 1. Recent late-August observations show consistent readings near or above 98°F under high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface warming to continue. Forecast models align on limited moisture and no significant frontal passage before the date, supporting the market-implied concentration around 98–101°F while acknowledging typical model uncertainty and potential for slight revisions from afternoon convection or wind shifts. Historical September 1 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$672วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, with official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service pointing to mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 90s for September 1. Recent late-August observations show consistent readings near or above 98°F under high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface warming to continue. Forecast models align on limited moisture and no significant frontal passage before the date, supporting the market-implied concentration around 98–101°F while acknowledging typical model uncertainty and potential for slight revisions from afternoon convection or wind shifts. Historical September 1 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย