Recent National Weather Service and local model consensus project a daily high near 99°F for Austin on August 30 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the 61.5% market weighting on the 98-99°F outcome. Persistent high pressure and above-normal seasonal warmth have produced minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal passages, enabling strong daytime solar heating that aligns with observed trends several degrees above the 94.8°F historical average high. Forecasts consistently limit upside risk to the low 100s while ruling out cooler readings, with heat indices above 105°F underscoring the stable thermodynamic environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 62%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 9%
94-95°F 2%
$10,046 ปริมาณ
$10,046 ปริมาณ
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 62%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 9%
94-95°F 2%
$10,046 ปริมาณ
$10,046 ปริมาณ
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local model consensus project a daily high near 99°F for Austin on August 30 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the 61.5% market weighting on the 98-99°F outcome. Persistent high pressure and above-normal seasonal warmth have produced minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal passages, enabling strong daytime solar heating that aligns with observed trends several degrees above the 94.8°F historical average high. Forecasts consistently limit upside risk to the low 100s while ruling out cooler readings, with heat indices above 105°F underscoring the stable thermodynamic environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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