Official observations from Austin-area weather stations, including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 98–99°F on August 29, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a south-southeast flow, with limited moisture and no significant frontal passage or cloud cover to suppress afternoon heating, yet without the extreme subsidence or downslope warming needed for triple-digit readings. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 95°F, so this result sits modestly above normal but well below recent heat-wave peaks. New model runs or revised station data could still prompt minor adjustments before final settlement, though the narrow range leaves little room for shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
$21,472 ปริมาณ
$21,472 ปริมาณ
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
$21,472 ปริมาณ
$21,472 ปริมาณ
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Austin-area weather stations, including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 98–99°F on August 29, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a south-southeast flow, with limited moisture and no significant frontal passage or cloud cover to suppress afternoon heating, yet without the extreme subsidence or downslope warming needed for triple-digit readings. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 95°F, so this result sits modestly above normal but well below recent heat-wave peaks. New model runs or revised station data could still prompt minor adjustments before final settlement, though the narrow range leaves little room for shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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