Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 99–100°F in Austin on August 31 under partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Late-August climatology in central Texas features average highs near 95°F, but persistent ridging and above-normal soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures, with recent observations around 100°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread, though minor cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could trim the peak by 1–2°F. The market-implied odds reflect this tight range of outcomes ahead of the final 24-hour verification period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 31?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 31?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
$60 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$88 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$229 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$97 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$292 ปริมาณ
3%
98-99°F
$1,541 ปริมาณ
56%
100-101°F
$490 ปริมาณ
37%
102-103°F
$511 ปริมาณ
5%
104-105°F
$123 ปริมาณ
1%
106-107°F
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
108°F or higher
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 99–100°F in Austin on August 31 under partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Late-August climatology in central Texas features average highs near 95°F, but persistent ridging and above-normal soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures, with recent observations around 100°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread, though minor cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could trim the peak by 1–2°F. The market-implied odds reflect this tight range of outcomes ahead of the final 24-hour verification period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,711วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 99–100°F in Austin on August 31 under partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Late-August climatology in central Texas features average highs near 95°F, but persistent ridging and above-normal soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures, with recent observations around 100°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread, though minor cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could trim the peak by 1–2°F. The market-implied odds reflect this tight range of outcomes ahead of the final 24-hour verification period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,711วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 99–100°F in Austin on August 31 under partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Late-August climatology in central Texas features average highs near 95°F, but persistent ridging and above-normal soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures, with recent observations around 100°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread, though minor cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could trim the peak by 1–2°F. The market-implied odds reflect this tight range of outcomes ahead of the final 24-hour verification period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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