Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 13%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
13%
35°C
34%
36°C
45%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 13%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$636 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,127 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$396 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$492 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$760 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$703 ปริมาณ
34%
36°C
$2,348 ปริมาณ
45%
37°C
$1,233 ปริมาณ
6%
38°C
$433 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$376 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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