**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 28–29°C for Ankara on August 31, reflecting tight clustering in official and ensemble forecasts.** Clear skies and light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s under high pressure will allow strong daytime insolation on the Anatolian plateau at ~870 m elevation, driving afternoon maxima while limiting mixing and moisture. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS shows highs stabilizing near 27–28°C after a cooler spell, with minor spreads arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual high-cloud effects. These differences determine whether the daily maximum registers at 28°C or edges to 29°C, consistent with historical late-August norms around 29°C. Final model updates and real-time observations on the 31st will resolve the narrow gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
29°C 45%
28°C 43%
27°C 12%
30°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
43%
29°C
45%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 43%
27°C 12%
30°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$435 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$464 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$353 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$1,706 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$1,402 ปริมาณ
43%
29°C
$3,316 ปริมาณ
45%
30°C
$560 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$395 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$141 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 28–29°C for Ankara on August 31, reflecting tight clustering in official and ensemble forecasts.** Clear skies and light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s under high pressure will allow strong daytime insolation on the Anatolian plateau at ~870 m elevation, driving afternoon maxima while limiting mixing and moisture. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS shows highs stabilizing near 27–28°C after a cooler spell, with minor spreads arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual high-cloud effects. These differences determine whether the daily maximum registers at 28°C or edges to 29°C, consistent with historical late-August norms around 29°C. Final model updates and real-time observations on the 31st will resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,169วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 28–29°C for Ankara on August 31, reflecting tight clustering in official and ensemble forecasts.** Clear skies and light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s under high pressure will allow strong daytime insolation on the Anatolian plateau at ~870 m elevation, driving afternoon maxima while limiting mixing and moisture. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS shows highs stabilizing near 27–28°C after a cooler spell, with minor spreads arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual high-cloud effects. These differences determine whether the daily maximum registers at 28°C or edges to 29°C, consistent with historical late-August norms around 29°C. Final model updates and real-time observations on the 31st will resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,169วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 28–29°C for Ankara on August 31, reflecting tight clustering in official and ensemble forecasts.** Clear skies and light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s under high pressure will allow strong daytime insolation on the Anatolian plateau at ~870 m elevation, driving afternoon maxima while limiting mixing and moisture. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS shows highs stabilizing near 27–28°C after a cooler spell, with minor spreads arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual high-cloud effects. These differences determine whether the daily maximum registers at 28°C or edges to 29°C, consistent with historical late-August norms around 29°C. Final model updates and real-time observations on the 31st will resolve the narrow gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย