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Elections predictions & odds

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Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

70%

Keiko Fujimori

$75M Vol.

$7M today

$7M Liq.

7,575

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

16%

JD Vance

$622M Vol.

$3M today

$35M Liq.

956

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$67M Liq.

760

Ends in over 2 years

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Elections·US Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

56%

Karen Bass

$10M Vol.

$984K today

$4M Liq.

101

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

32%

J.D. Vance

$653M Vol.

$974K today

$42M Liq.

417

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

27%

Jordan Bardella

$94M Vol.

$673K today

$9M Liq.

548

Ends in 11 months

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
Elections·US Election

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

99%

Bass & Raman

$2M Vol.

$562K today

$498K Liq.

48

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Elections·Peru Election

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

70%

Fujimori 0–4%

$752K Vol.

$356K today

$135K Liq.

19

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

100%

Civil Contract

$1M Vol.

$307K today

$637K Liq.

24

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

88%

Xavier Becerra

$35M Vol.

$250K today

$6M Liq.

84

Ends in 5 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

34%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$14M Vol.

$131K today

$1M Liq.

306

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$7M Vol.

$110K today

$323K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

56%

United Russia (ER)

$10M Vol.

$99.8K today

$723K Liq.

209

Ends in 3 months

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

84%

Andy Burnham

$3M Vol.

$87.6K today

$702K Liq.

44

Ends in 9 days

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

84%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$36M Vol.

$86.7K today

$4M Liq.

722

Ends in 13 days

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

99%

Nithya Raman

$401K Vol.

$80.4K today

$346K Liq.

7

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Elections·Primaries

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

95%

Steve Hilton

$2M Vol.

$72.3K today

$443K Liq.

27

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?
Elections·US Election

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

98%

Karen Bass

$769K Vol.

$70.5K today

$361K Liq.

2

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

73%

Pamela Evette

$472K Vol.

$179K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

65%

Eugen Tomac

$2M Vol.

$604K Liq.

103

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Peru Presidential Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.