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Primary predictions & odds

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Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

90%

Steve Hilton

$2M Vol.

$281K today

$342K Liq.

26

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

91%

Dem-Rep

$269K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

9

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$825K Vol.

$384K Liq.

5

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

69%

Pamela Evette

$422K Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

52%

Canceled

$81.7K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

13

Ends in 4 months

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

87%

Robert Charles

$54.3K Vol.

$57.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

53%

Mandela Barnes

$75.3K Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

50%

Toby Doeden

$125K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

43%

Troy Jackson

$92.2K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

67%

Abdul El-Sayed

$615K Vol.

$75.7K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

CA-06 Primary Winners

CA-06 Primary Winners

99%

Richard Pan

$6.5K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

96%

Paxton 25–30%

$137K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

4

Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner

97%

Phil Scott

$9.4K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?

Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?

2%

$24.5K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

85%

Janeese Lewis George

$136K Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

85%

Becerra <5%

$27.7K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

80%

Mike Mazzei

$330K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

98%

Tom Steyer

$8.7K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

1

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

80%

Ty Masterson

$49.2K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

CA-33 Primary Winners

CA-33 Primary Winners

100%

Pete Aguilar

$3.3K Vol.

$867 Liq.

1

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Primary.

Polymarket currently hosts 1784 active markets for Primary that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will advance from the California Governor primary?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will advance from the California Governor primary?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will advance from the California Governor primary?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Steve Hilton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Primary predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.