Elections predictions & odds

Politics·Congress

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$3M Vol.

$355K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

24%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$355K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·German Elections

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

$86.0K Vol.

$161K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

94%

CDU

$86.0K Vol.

$161K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$275K Vol.

$199K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

20%

Below 190

$275K Vol.

$199K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

$253K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

97%

$253K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Elections·Midterms

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

$684K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

31%

22–23

$684K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Taiwan

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$141K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$141K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·UK

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

$18.5K Vol.

$48.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

41%

$18.5K Vol.

$48.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Elections·German Election

AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

$20.2K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

77%

$20.2K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Geopolitics·Erdogan

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

$133K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

10%

$133K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Elections·Global Elections

Haiti elections delayed again?

$17.1K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

93%

$17.1K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Governor Races

How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

$17.1K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

40%

$17.1K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Federalize

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$17.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

15%

$17.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Elections·Coalition

Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?

$2.5K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

$2.5K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

$2.9K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

77%

$2.9K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·Global Elections

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

$1.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

74%

$1.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·US Election

Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?

$147 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

51%

$147 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$29M Vol.

$192K today

$2M Liq.

494

Ends in 5 months

50%

Gadi Eizenkot

$29M Vol.

$192K today

$2M Liq.

494

Ends in 5 months

Elections·German Elections

Berlin State Election Winner

$3M Vol.

$382K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

37%

Linke

$3M Vol.

$382K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·German Elections

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

$867K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

99%

AfD

$867K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$9M Vol.

$831K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

86%

Democratic Party

$9M Vol.

$831K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 914 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to Gadi Eizenkot. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Elections shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Elections prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Elections prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Elections predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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How do Elections markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Elections prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Elections predictions?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Elections prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Elections markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Elections prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Elections predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Elections odds?

Can I track Elections predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Elections markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Elections predictions & odds