Global Elections predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$699M Vol.

$1M today

$56M Liq.

436

Ends in about 2 years

50%

J.D. Vance

$699M Vol.

$1M today

$56M Liq.

436

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·US Election

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

$10 Vol.

$293 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

16%

$10 Vol.

$293 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election

$144M Vol.

$974K today

$16M Liq.

17,905

Ends in 29 days

56%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$144M Vol.

$974K today

$16M Liq.

17,905

Ends in 29 days

Elections·Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$702M Vol.

$924K today

$62M Liq.

1,019

Ends in about 2 years

24%

JD Vance

$702M Vol.

$924K today

$62M Liq.

1,019

Ends in about 2 years

Politics·Federalize

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$20.1K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$20.1K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·French Election

Next French Presidential Election

$127M Vol.

$479K today

$16M Liq.

727

Ends in 8 months

35%

Marine Le Pen

$127M Vol.

$479K today

$16M Liq.

727

Ends in 8 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$35M Vol.

$231K today

$2M Liq.

682

Ends in 4 months

47%

Gadi Eizenkot

$35M Vol.

$231K today

$2M Liq.

682

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

$315K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

64%

$315K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$6M Vol.

$200K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 29 days

89%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$6M Vol.

$200K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$25M Vol.

$123K today

$2M Liq.

467

Ends in 15 days

69%

United Russia (ER)

$25M Vol.

$123K today

$2M Liq.

467

Ends in 15 days

World·France

French election called by...?

$1M Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

314

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

314

Ends in 4 months

World·Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

$5M Vol.

$109K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 8 days

80%

Magdalena Andersson

$5M Vol.

$109K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$10M Vol.

$921K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

88%

Democratic Party

$10M Vol.

$921K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?

$17.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

21%

$17.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$1M Vol.

$516K Liq.

102

Ends in 29 days

53%

Augusto Cury

$1M Vol.

$516K Liq.

102

Ends in 29 days

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

$3M Vol.

$775K Liq.

447

Ends in 4 months

40%

Alexandru Nazare

$3M Vol.

$775K Liq.

447

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Taiwan

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$162K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

92%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$162K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·German Elections

Berlin State Election Winner

$3M Vol.

$320K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

43%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$320K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$4M Vol.

$576K Liq.

121

Ends in about 2 months

52%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$576K Liq.

121

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Israel

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

$29.7K Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

73%

$29.7K Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Global Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 658 active markets for Global Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump nationalize elections?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Global Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Global Elections shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Presidential Election Winner 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Global Elections prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Global Elections prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Global Elections predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Global Elections prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Global Elections markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Global Elections prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Global Elections predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Global Elections odds?

Can I track Global Elections predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Global Elections markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Global Elections predictions & odds