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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

icon for Next Prime Minister of Sweden
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 86%

Ulf Kristersson 13%

Jimmie Åkesson 1.1%

Ebba Busch 1.0%

Polymarket

$3,683,767 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 86%

Ulf Kristersson 13%

Jimmie Åkesson 1.1%

Ebba Busch 1.0%

Polymarket

$3,683,767 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$180,820 Vol.

86%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$163,452 Vol.

13%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,416,909 Vol.

1%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$355,954 Vol.

1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$115,717 Vol.

1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$936,783 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$61,467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$69,382 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$114,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$268,696 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's September 13, 2026 parliamentary election shapes the "next prime minister" market, with recent opinion polls showing the centre-left bloc led by Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson holding a consistent 7–10 point advantage over the incumbent right-wing coalition. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Verian in July–August place her party near 30–32% support, the Sweden Democrats around 20%, and the Moderates near 17%, projecting roughly 196 seats for the opposition versus 153 for the government. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts away from Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's four-party arrangement, including support from the Sweden Democrats, amid stable bloc trends that have narrowed only modestly in the final weeks. Andersson's strong personal standing as opposition leader and the structural barriers facing smaller parties reinforce trader consensus around an 85%+ implied probability for her return, while alternatives like Jimmie Åkesson or Ebba Busch remain marginal due to coalition math and limited parliamentary paths. The election timeline leaves limited room for late reversals before resolution.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,683,767
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's September 13, 2026 parliamentary election shapes the "next prime minister" market, with recent opinion polls showing the centre-left bloc led by Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson holding a consistent 7–10 point advantage over the incumbent right-wing coalition. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Verian in July–August place her party near 30–32% support, the Sweden Democrats around 20%, and the Moderates near 17%, projecting roughly 196 seats for the opposition versus 153 for the government. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts away from Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's four-party arrangement, including support from the Sweden Democrats, amid stable bloc trends that have narrowed only modestly in the final weeks. Andersson's strong personal standing as opposition leader and the structural barriers facing smaller parties reinforce trader consensus around an 85%+ implied probability for her return, while alternatives like Jimmie Åkesson or Ebba Busch remain marginal due to coalition math and limited parliamentary paths. The election timeline leaves limited room for late reversals before resolution.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,683,767
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 86%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" has generated $3.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Sweden," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.