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Federalize predictions & odds

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Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

15%

$16.0K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

5%

$2.8K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

5%

$4.4K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.5K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

1%

$276K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

33

Ends in 22 days

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

1%

$21.4K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 22 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$10.8K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

8

White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

27%

180-199

$15.9K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

65%

$1.5K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

8%

$24.1K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

1%

$38.7K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 22 days

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

20%

$3.4K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of June 8 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of June 8 2026?

73%

↓ $3.10

$230 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

12%

Before 2027

$505K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

48

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

70%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.1K Vol.

$73.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

21%

December 31

$440K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

5

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

18%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

72

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Federalize.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Federalize that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump nationalize elections?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Federalize predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.