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Hegseth predictions & odds

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

2%

$225K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

2%

$159K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

28%

$230K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

1%

Stephen Smith

$617M Vol.

$775K today

$36M Liq.

951

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

$651M Vol.

$485K today

$43M Liq.

415

Ends in over 2 years

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

71%

Nicolás Maduro

$90M Vol.

$2M Liq.

345

Ends in 7 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

91%

Delcy Rodríguez

$27.5K Vol.

$578K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

2%

Jared Kushner

$405K Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 24 days

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

55%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

33%

John Ratcliffe

$3.0K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

10%

J.D. Vance

$13.5K Vol.

$482K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Hanwha Life Esports

$2M Vol.

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$8.8K Vol.

$1 Liq.

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

Zoun

$1.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Clutchain

$7.1K Vol.

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

48%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

133

Ends in 7 months

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

MASONIC

$1.8K Vol.

$2 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Ølgod Efterskole

$3.3K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K Vol.

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

12%

Up

$2.7K Vol.

$41 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hegseth.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Hegseth that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to Tulsi Gabbard. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hegseth predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.