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Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$1.6M volume, ends Jan 1, 2027

Pete Hegseth52%
Susie Wiles43%
Kristi Noem27%
Marco Rubio25%
Markwayne Mullin22%
Tom Homan20%
Howard Lutnick20%
Kash Patel20%
Russell Vought18%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.16%
Stephen Miller16%
Lee Zeldin12%
John Ratcliffe11%
David Sacks8%
Dan Scavino7%
Scott Bessent6%
Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.