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Cuba predictions & odds

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US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

45%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$147K today

$57.0K Liq.

83

Ends in 7 months

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

22%

$3M Vol.

$94.3K Liq.

71

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

64%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$90.2K Liq.

72

Ends in 24 days

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

21%

December 31

$675K Vol.

$49.5K Liq.

22

Ends in 24 days

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

12%

$286K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

18

Ends in 24 days

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

2%

$19.9K Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

12%

$15.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

9%

$15.2K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

10%

June 30

$288K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

17

Ends in 24 days

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

8%

$25.3K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

48%

$135K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

19%

Lebanon

$51.0K Vol.

$256K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

2%

Tunisia

$416K Vol.

$97.7K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

21%

$400K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

7%

Jon Ossoff

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$60M Liq.

750

Ends in over 2 years

World Cup: Player to score

World Cup: Player to score

18%

Lennart Kahl

$247K Vol.

$214K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Mark Cuban

$700K Vol.

$630K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

World Cup: Young Player Award Winner

World Cup: Young Player Award Winner

6%

Lennart Karl

$6.8K Vol.

$121K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$24.6K Vol.

$875K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

23%

$226K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

16

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cuba.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Cuba that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US military action against Cuba by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to Jon Ossoff. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cuba predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.