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Next French Presidential Election

$154.1M volume, ends Apr 19, 2027

Marine Le Pen46%
Édouard Philippe18%
David Lisnard12%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
Raphaël Glucksmann4%
François Hollande2%
Gabriel Attal1%
Sarah Knafo1%
Éric Zemmour1%
Bruno Retailleau1%
Christine Lagarde1%
Jordan Bardella1%
Dominique de Villepin1%
Natacha Polony<1%
Sébastien Lecornu<1%
Xavier Bertrand<1%
François Ruffin<1%
Marine Tondelier<1%
Ségolène Royal<1%
François Asselineau<1%
Jean Castex<1%
Karim Bouamrane<1%
Laurent Wauquiez<1%
Fabien Roussel<1%
Olivier Faure<1%
Clémentine Autain<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
Michel Barnier<1%
Valérie Pécresse<1%
François Bayrou<1%
Élisabeth Borne<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
Gérald Darmanin<1%
Carole Delga<1%
Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
Manuel Bompard<1%
Mathilde Panot<1%
Juan Branco<1%
Clémence Guetté<1%
Lucie Castets<1%
Yannick Jadot<1%
François Baroin<1%
Marion Maréchal<1%
Anasse Kazib<1%
Sylvain Durif<1%
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Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).