The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUBJP 78%
BFP 15%
THE ROYALS 3.5%
ROHOSUPA 3.4%
$18,710 Vol.
$18,710 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
UBJP
78%
BFP
15%
THE ROYALS
4%
ROHOSUPA
3%
MAHARDIKA
3%
ISLPI
3%
DTLO
3%
BGC
3%
Election Postponed/Canceled
3%
RSEU
3%
PBB
3%
MUSHAWARA
2%
TPWC
2%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
2%
ISAMA
2%
RSL
2%
MORO AKO
2%
ABOT
2%
ROHOSUMA
1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
<1%
C4P
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
LBIAA
<1%
BAPA
<1%
UBJP 78%
BFP 15%
THE ROYALS 3.5%
ROHOSUPA 3.4%
$18,710 Vol.
$18,710 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
UBJP
$13,282 Vol.
78%
BFP
$1,030 Vol.
15%
THE ROYALS
$229 Vol.
4%
ROHOSUPA
$222 Vol.
3%
MAHARDIKA
$239 Vol.
3%
ISLPI
$194 Vol.
3%
DTLO
$168 Vol.
3%
BGC
$265 Vol.
3%
Election Postponed/Canceled
$188 Vol.
3%
RSEU
$223 Vol.
3%
PBB
$177 Vol.
3%
MUSHAWARA
$188 Vol.
2%
TPWC
$221 Vol.
2%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$194 Vol.
2%
ISAMA
$168 Vol.
2%
RSL
$185 Vol.
2%
MORO AKO
$168 Vol.
2%
ABOT
$168 Vol.
2%
ROHOSUMA
$249 Vol.
1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$168 Vol.
<1%
C4P
$185 Vol.
<1%
BEST PARTY
$184 Vol.
<1%
LBIAA
$185 Vol.
<1%
BAPA
$224 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Volume
$18,710End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$18,710End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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