Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election show Labour and National running nearly neck-and-neck, with Labour occasionally edging ahead as the largest party while the incumbent National-led coalition (including ACT and NZ First) retains competitive support around 49 percent. Minor-party dynamics, including fluctuating backing for NZ First, Greens, Te Pāti Māori, and the Opportunity Party, continue to complicate majority formation and keep both major parties below clear parliamentary thresholds in several surveys. Cost-of-living pressures, housing affordability, and voter assessments of the current government’s record have driven recent swings, with early voting scheduled to begin in late October. Further shifts in economic indicators or coalition negotiations could widen the gap in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 55%
National Party 46%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$56,948 Vol.
$56,948 Vol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
46%
Labour Party
55%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 55%
National Party 46%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$56,948 Vol.
$56,948 Vol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$23,612 Vol.
46%
Labour Party
$17,237 Vol.
55%
Green Party
$4,178 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,136 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,214 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election show Labour and National running nearly neck-and-neck, with Labour occasionally edging ahead as the largest party while the incumbent National-led coalition (including ACT and NZ First) retains competitive support around 49 percent. Minor-party dynamics, including fluctuating backing for NZ First, Greens, Te Pāti Māori, and the Opportunity Party, continue to complicate majority formation and keep both major parties below clear parliamentary thresholds in several surveys. Cost-of-living pressures, housing affordability, and voter assessments of the current government’s record have driven recent swings, with early voting scheduled to begin in late October. Further shifts in economic indicators or coalition negotiations could widen the gap in the final weeks.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$56,948End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election show Labour and National running nearly neck-and-neck, with Labour occasionally edging ahead as the largest party while the incumbent National-led coalition (including ACT and NZ First) retains competitive support around 49 percent. Minor-party dynamics, including fluctuating backing for NZ First, Greens, Te Pāti Māori, and the Opportunity Party, continue to complicate majority formation and keep both major parties below clear parliamentary thresholds in several surveys. Cost-of-living pressures, housing affordability, and voter assessments of the current government’s record have driven recent swings, with early voting scheduled to begin in late October. Further shifts in economic indicators or coalition negotiations could widen the gap in the final weeks.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$56,948End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7, 2026, general election show Labour and National running nearly neck-and-neck, with Labour occasionally edging ahead as the largest party while the incumbent National-led coalition (including ACT and NZ First) retains competitive support around 49 percent. Minor-party dynamics, including fluctuating backing for NZ First, Greens, Te Pāti Māori, and the Opportunity Party, continue to complicate majority formation and keep both major parties below clear parliamentary thresholds in several surveys. Cost-of-living pressures, housing affordability, and voter assessments of the current government’s record have driven recent swings, with early voting scheduled to begin in late October. Further shifts in economic indicators or coalition negotiations could widen the gap in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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