2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 94% |
| Marine Le Pen | 92% |
| Édouard Philippe | 91% |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 88% |
| Éric Zemmour | 86% |
| Fabien Roussel | 80% |
| David Lisnard | 72% |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 66% |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 58% |
| Bruno Retailleau | 56% |
| François Hollande | 38% |
| Dominique de Villepin | 32% |
| Marine Tondelier | 26% |
| François Ruffin | 24% |
| Gabriel Attal | 20% |
| François Asselineau | 19% |
| Sarah Knafo | 16% |
| Xavier Bertrand | 12% |
| Olivier Faure | 12% |
| Matthieu Pigasse | 10% |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 10% |
| Delphine Batho | 9% |
| Juan Branco | 8% |
| Élisabeth Borne | 7% |
| Jordan Bardella | 6% |
| Michel Barnier | 6% |
| Jean-Michel Fauvergue | 6% |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | 5% |
| Carole Delga | 5% |
| Jérôme Guedj | 5% |
| François Bayrou | 5% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 5% |
| Jean Castex | 5% |
| Bally Bagayoko | 5% |
| Karim Bouamrane | 5% |
| Manuel Valls | 4% |
| Mathilde Panot | 4% |
| Valérie Pécresse | 4% |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 4% |
| Manuel Bompard | 3% |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 3% |
| Gérald Darmanin | 3% |
| Michel-Edouard Leclerc | 3% |
| Ségolène Royal | 3% |
| Teddy Riner | 3% |
| Clémentine Autain | 1% |
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.