The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field keeps the vice-presidential nomination market fragmented, with no contender above 11% implied probability as traders price in uncertainty over the eventual nominee and balancing considerations. Gretchen Whitmer leads on the strength of her Midwest governorship and swing-state profile, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws support from progressive visibility and Elissa Slotkin from Senate experience in Michigan. Key differentiators include geographic reach, fundraising capacity, ideological positioning, and national name recognition. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely require clearer signals from early presidential polling, primary results, or convention dynamics that narrow the top of the ticket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGretchen Whitmer 10.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Elissa Slotkin 6.2%
Andy Beshear 5.6%
$96,851 Vol.
$96,851 Vol.
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Phil Murphy
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
LeBron James
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
J.B. Pritzker
4%
Gina Raimondo
4%
James Talarico
4%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Wes Moore
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Ro Khanna
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Jared Polis
2%
John Fetterman
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
George Clooney
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Gretchen Whitmer 10.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Elissa Slotkin 6.2%
Andy Beshear 5.6%
$96,851 Vol.
$96,851 Vol.
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Phil Murphy
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
LeBron James
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
J.B. Pritzker
4%
Gina Raimondo
4%
James Talarico
4%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Wes Moore
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Ro Khanna
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Jared Polis
2%
John Fetterman
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
George Clooney
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field keeps the vice-presidential nomination market fragmented, with no contender above 11% implied probability as traders price in uncertainty over the eventual nominee and balancing considerations. Gretchen Whitmer leads on the strength of her Midwest governorship and swing-state profile, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws support from progressive visibility and Elissa Slotkin from Senate experience in Michigan. Key differentiators include geographic reach, fundraising capacity, ideological positioning, and national name recognition. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely require clearer signals from early presidential polling, primary results, or convention dynamics that narrow the top of the ticket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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