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Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?

icon for Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?

Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?

51% chance
Polymarket
NEW
51% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).The closely contested Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment reflects divided legislative support and competing views on judicial selection methods, with retention elections versus partisan ballots remaining a central point of debate. Recent sessions have seen proposals advance through committee but face uncertain floor votes and potential gubernatorial considerations, creating balanced trader sentiment around the 50 percent threshold. Key variables include turnout among rural and urban voters, endorsements from bar associations and political organizations, and any late-session compromises on amendment language. Scheduled legislative activity or public polling on the ballot measure could shift implied probabilities in either direction before voters decide.

Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Volume
$147
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).The closely contested Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment reflects divided legislative support and competing views on judicial selection methods, with retention elections versus partisan ballots remaining a central point of debate. Recent sessions have seen proposals advance through committee but face uncertain floor votes and potential gubernatorial considerations, creating balanced trader sentiment around the 50 percent threshold. Key variables include turnout among rural and urban voters, endorsements from bar associations and political organizations, and any late-session compromises on amendment language. Scheduled legislative activity or public polling on the ballot measure could shift implied probabilities in either direction before voters decide.

Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Volume
$147
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 47% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 47¢, the market collectively assigns a 47% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?" is 47% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 47% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.