Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
6%
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,242 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$12,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,768End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,768End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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