**Rich McCormick, the Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 7th Congressional District, faced no primary opposition on May 19, 2026, allowing him to secure the nomination outright without triggering a runoff under Georgia’s majority-vote rule.** This uncontested status on the GOP side created a clear path for an outright first-round winner, anchoring trader expectations. On the Democratic side, multiple candidates split the vote in the May primary—leading contender Tony Kozycki received roughly 40 percent—necessitating a June 16 runoff that Kozycki later won. The market’s 95 percent implied probability for “Yes” therefore reflects the decisive, uncontested Republican outcome and the low likelihood that late developments would alter the first-round result. With the primaries concluded and no further procedural hurdles in the resolution window, traders have converged on the view that an outright first-round winner occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated95% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
95% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**Rich McCormick, the Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 7th Congressional District, faced no primary opposition on May 19, 2026, allowing him to secure the nomination outright without triggering a runoff under Georgia’s majority-vote rule.** This uncontested status on the GOP side created a clear path for an outright first-round winner, anchoring trader expectations. On the Democratic side, multiple candidates split the vote in the May primary—leading contender Tony Kozycki received roughly 40 percent—necessitating a June 16 runoff that Kozycki later won. The market’s 95 percent implied probability for “Yes” therefore reflects the decisive, uncontested Republican outcome and the low likelihood that late developments would alter the first-round result. With the primaries concluded and no further procedural hurdles in the resolution window, traders have converged on the view that an outright first-round winner occurred.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$234End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**Rich McCormick, the Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 7th Congressional District, faced no primary opposition on May 19, 2026, allowing him to secure the nomination outright without triggering a runoff under Georgia’s majority-vote rule.** This uncontested status on the GOP side created a clear path for an outright first-round winner, anchoring trader expectations. On the Democratic side, multiple candidates split the vote in the May primary—leading contender Tony Kozycki received roughly 40 percent—necessitating a June 16 runoff that Kozycki later won. The market’s 95 percent implied probability for “Yes” therefore reflects the decisive, uncontested Republican outcome and the low likelihood that late developments would alter the first-round result. With the primaries concluded and no further procedural hurdles in the resolution window, traders have converged on the view that an outright first-round winner occurred.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Volume
$234End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Rich McCormick, the Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 7th Congressional District, faced no primary opposition on May 19, 2026, allowing him to secure the nomination outright without triggering a runoff under Georgia’s majority-vote rule.** This uncontested status on the GOP side created a clear path for an outright first-round winner, anchoring trader expectations. On the Democratic side, multiple candidates split the vote in the May primary—leading contender Tony Kozycki received roughly 40 percent—necessitating a June 16 runoff that Kozycki later won. The market’s 95 percent implied probability for “Yes” therefore reflects the decisive, uncontested Republican outcome and the low likelihood that late developments would alter the first-round result. With the primaries concluded and no further procedural hurdles in the resolution window, traders have converged on the view that an outright first-round winner occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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