Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with polls showing Tom Begich leading but at modest levels around 17-20 percent amid high undecided shares and support scattered across Republicans like Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson. Recent candidate withdrawals, including Matt Claman's exit in late June, have not consolidated the vote enough to produce a clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with multiple contenders holding comparable implied probabilities that could shift based on final turnout patterns, endorsements, or late campaign events before the primary advances the top four to the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedClick Bishop 38%
Adam Crum 38%
Edna DeVries 38%
James Parkin 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
Click Bishop
38%
Adam Crum
38%
Edna DeVries
38%
James Parkin
38%
Bernadette Wilson
38%
Matt Claman
38%
Jessica Faircloth
38%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
38%
Bill Walker
38%
Tom Begich
35%
Dave Bronson
11%
Nancy Dahlstrom
11%
Matt Heilala
11%
Shelley Hughes
11%
Hank Kroll
11%
Treg Taylor
11%
Bruce Walden
11%
Lesil McGuire
11%
Gregg Brelsford
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
37%
Click Bishop 38%
Adam Crum 38%
Edna DeVries 38%
James Parkin 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
Click Bishop
$20 Vol.
38%
Adam Crum
$20 Vol.
38%
Edna DeVries
$20 Vol.
38%
James Parkin
$25 Vol.
38%
Bernadette Wilson
$20 Vol.
38%
Matt Claman
$25 Vol.
38%
Jessica Faircloth
$20 Vol.
38%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
$20 Vol.
38%
Bill Walker
$20 Vol.
38%
Tom Begich
$148 Vol.
35%
Dave Bronson
$20 Vol.
11%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$20 Vol.
11%
Matt Heilala
$20 Vol.
11%
Shelley Hughes
$20 Vol.
11%
Hank Kroll
$20 Vol.
11%
Treg Taylor
$20 Vol.
11%
Bruce Walden
$20 Vol.
11%
Lesil McGuire
$20 Vol.
11%
Gregg Brelsford
$20 Vol.
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$40 Vol.
37%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with polls showing Tom Begich leading but at modest levels around 17-20 percent amid high undecided shares and support scattered across Republicans like Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson. Recent candidate withdrawals, including Matt Claman's exit in late June, have not consolidated the vote enough to produce a clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with multiple contenders holding comparable implied probabilities that could shift based on final turnout patterns, endorsements, or late campaign events before the primary advances the top four to the general election.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$558End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with polls showing Tom Begich leading but at modest levels around 17-20 percent amid high undecided shares and support scattered across Republicans like Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson. Recent candidate withdrawals, including Matt Claman's exit in late June, have not consolidated the vote enough to produce a clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with multiple contenders holding comparable implied probabilities that could shift based on final turnout patterns, endorsements, or late campaign events before the primary advances the top four to the general election.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$558End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with polls showing Tom Begich leading but at modest levels around 17-20 percent amid high undecided shares and support scattered across Republicans like Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson. Recent candidate withdrawals, including Matt Claman's exit in late June, have not consolidated the vote enough to produce a clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with multiple contenders holding comparable implied probabilities that could shift based on final turnout patterns, endorsements, or late campaign events before the primary advances the top four to the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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