Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the departure of incumbent Chip Roy, who pursued a bid for state attorney general. The general election pits Republican nominee Mark Teixeira against Democrat Kristin Hook on November 3, 2026. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential and Senate results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primaries produced Teixeira as the nominee with endorsements from high-profile Republican figures, while limited Democratic polling shows the challenger trailing significantly. No major late shifts in the race have altered the structural advantage held by Republicans in this exurban Texas district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$57,586 Vol.
$57,586 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$57,586 Vol.
$57,586 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$31,180 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$26,406 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the departure of incumbent Chip Roy, who pursued a bid for state attorney general. The general election pits Republican nominee Mark Teixeira against Democrat Kristin Hook on November 3, 2026. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential and Senate results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primaries produced Teixeira as the nominee with endorsements from high-profile Republican figures, while limited Democratic polling shows the challenger trailing significantly. No major late shifts in the race have altered the structural advantage held by Republicans in this exurban Texas district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$57,586End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the departure of incumbent Chip Roy, who pursued a bid for state attorney general. The general election pits Republican nominee Mark Teixeira against Democrat Kristin Hook on November 3, 2026. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential and Senate results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primaries produced Teixeira as the nominee with endorsements from high-profile Republican figures, while limited Democratic polling shows the challenger trailing significantly. No major late shifts in the race have altered the structural advantage held by Republicans in this exurban Texas district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,586End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the departure of incumbent Chip Roy, who pursued a bid for state attorney general. The general election pits Republican nominee Mark Teixeira against Democrat Kristin Hook on November 3, 2026. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential and Senate results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primaries produced Teixeira as the nominee with endorsements from high-profile Republican figures, while limited Democratic polling shows the challenger trailing significantly. No major late shifts in the race have altered the structural advantage held by Republicans in this exurban Texas district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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