Ongoing gang violence controlling large areas of Port-au-Prince and funding shortfalls have repeatedly disrupted electoral preparations, including the April 2026 postponement of voter registration, creating uncertainty around the Provisional Electoral Council's August 30 first-round target and December runoff. The transitional council's February 2026 mandate expiration left Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé as sole executive, while over 300 parties registered amid efforts to finalize the electoral decree and calendar. This balance of institutional steps toward the vote versus persistent security and logistical barriers produces the near-even trader assessment. Improved security conditions, secured financing, or completed registration could strengthen on-time prospects, whereas further violence spikes or resource gaps might extend delays beyond the planned timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing gang violence controlling large areas of Port-au-Prince and funding shortfalls have repeatedly disrupted electoral preparations, including the April 2026 postponement of voter registration, creating uncertainty around the Provisional Electoral Council's August 30 first-round target and December runoff. The transitional council's February 2026 mandate expiration left Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé as sole executive, while over 300 parties registered amid efforts to finalize the electoral decree and calendar. This balance of institutional steps toward the vote versus persistent security and logistical barriers produces the near-even trader assessment. Improved security conditions, secured financing, or completed registration could strengthen on-time prospects, whereas further violence spikes or resource gaps might extend delays beyond the planned timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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