Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUlf Prange 69%
Jascha Rohr 37%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$20,983 Vol.
$20,983 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
69%
Jascha Rohr
33%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 69%
Jascha Rohr 37%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$20,983 Vol.
$20,983 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
$8,406 Vol.
69%
Jascha Rohr
$6,060 Vol.
33%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$20,983End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$20,983End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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