Incumbent Karen Bass holds a commanding position in the Los Angeles mayoral primary due to her established name recognition and consistent performance as the sitting mayor, which has translated into a clear lead in early vote counts from the June 2 first round. Partial results show her ahead of challengers including Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. This outcome follows a pre-election period where polls indicated a tighter three-way contest, but actual balloting has favored the incumbent's broader support base. Scenarios that could still alter the first-round result include shifts from remaining mail ballots or late precinct reporting that narrow or reverse the margin before certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?
LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?
Karen Bass 99.0%
Nithya Raman <1%
Spencer Pratt <1%
Rick Caruso <1%
$676,267 Vol.
$676,267 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Karen Bass
99%
Nithya Raman
1%
Spencer Pratt
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Asaad Alnajjar
<1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rae Huang
<1%
Adam Miller
<1%
Karen Bass 99.0%
Nithya Raman <1%
Spencer Pratt <1%
Rick Caruso <1%
$676,267 Vol.
$676,267 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Karen Bass
$144,271 Vol.
99%
Nithya Raman
$136,110 Vol.
1%
Spencer Pratt
$371,289 Vol.
<1%
Rick Caruso
$2,166 Vol.
<1%
Asaad Alnajjar
$3,999 Vol.
<1%
Gina Viola
$2,843 Vol.
<1%
Austin Beutner
$2,097 Vol.
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
$5,968 Vol.
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
$2,556 Vol.
<1%
Rae Huang
$3,406 Vol.
<1%
Adam Miller
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a commanding position in the Los Angeles mayoral primary due to her established name recognition and consistent performance as the sitting mayor, which has translated into a clear lead in early vote counts from the June 2 first round. Partial results show her ahead of challengers including Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. This outcome follows a pre-election period where polls indicated a tighter three-way contest, but actual balloting has favored the incumbent's broader support base. Scenarios that could still alter the first-round result include shifts from remaining mail ballots or late precinct reporting that narrow or reverse the margin before certification.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Volume
$676,267End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a commanding position in the Los Angeles mayoral primary due to her established name recognition and consistent performance as the sitting mayor, which has translated into a clear lead in early vote counts from the June 2 first round. Partial results show her ahead of challengers including Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. This outcome follows a pre-election period where polls indicated a tighter three-way contest, but actual balloting has favored the incumbent's broader support base. Scenarios that could still alter the first-round result include shifts from remaining mail ballots or late precinct reporting that narrow or reverse the margin before certification.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$676,267End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Karen Bass holds a commanding position in the Los Angeles mayoral primary due to her established name recognition and consistent performance as the sitting mayor, which has translated into a clear lead in early vote counts from the June 2 first round. Partial results show her ahead of challengers including Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. This outcome follows a pre-election period where polls indicated a tighter three-way contest, but actual balloting has favored the incumbent's broader support base. Scenarios that could still alter the first-round result include shifts from remaining mail ballots or late precinct reporting that narrow or reverse the margin before certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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